China Sept forex outflows hit $75 bln, biggest since 2016 - Goldman

0
3χλμ.

Capital outflows from China rose sharply to $75 billion in September, the biggest monthly figure since 2016, Goldman Sachs' preferred gauge of foreign exchange flows showed, underscoring intensifying depreciation pressure on the yuan.

The trend was also evident in official Chinese data over the weekend with big outflows under banks' forex sales and settlement business and through cross-border payment.

The yuan is one of Asia's worst performing currencies this year, having dropped more than 5.5% against the dollar, amid a struggling Chinese economy and a widening gap between Chinese and U.S. yields.

"Chinese policymakers are cognisant of the negative impact from excessive RMB weakness, and are .. looking to reinforce RMB stability," DBS strategist Chang Wei Liang said, referring to Beijing's efforts to contain the yuan's fall and stem capital flight.

September's outflows, nearly 80% higher than the $42 billion seen in August, were driven by current account outflows as foreign investors' net selling of equities and bonds slowed, Goldman Sachs said in a report.

There was $35 billion in net outflows via onshore outright spot transactions last month, as well as $45 billion of net yuan payment from onshore to offshore, the Wall Street bank said.

Despite rising yuan deprecation pressure, Goldman said it is sticking to its year-end yuan forecast of 7.30 per dollar, citing Beijing's efforts to limit the Chinese currency's decline.

"Policymakers appear to put more weight on confidence and stability in FX management," Goldman said.

Big outflows were also captured by official data.

China in September witnessed $19.4 billion of outflows under foreign exchange sales and settlement business for customers, the largest monthly outflows since late 2016, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) data showed on Friday.

Moreover, monthly cross-border receipts and payments recorded a deficit of $53.9 billion, the biggest since February, 2016.

Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People's Bank of China, vowed over the weekend to prevent risk contagion in stock, bond and foreign exchange markets, and to ensure the stable operation of financial markets.

Vincent Chan, China strategist at Aletheia Capital, said a big depreciation in the yuan was unlikely in the near future as Beijing has little willingness to slash interest rates further.

Chan said that Given the declining contribution of exports to China's economy, "keeping the yuan exchange rate relatively stable is in China's best interest."

Προωθημένο
Αναζήτηση
Προωθημένο
Κατηγορίες
Διαβάζω περισσότερα
άλλο
Patna to Sitamarhi Cab
Book Patna to Sitamarhi cab online at best price. CabBazar provides car rental services for all...
από devendra44 2024-11-16 05:58:57 0 1χλμ.
Technology
What is a Turbine Flow Meter and How Does It Work?
A turbine flow meter is a widely used flow measurement device that operates based on the...
από ourmechanicalworld 2025-08-29 06:33:38 0 555
άλλο
استمتع بالفخر: تي شيرت المنتخب السعودي الوطني من سبورت تاتش
هل أنت مستعد لإظهار فخرك الوطني بأناقة؟ نقدم لك تي شيرت المنتخب السعودي الوطني من سبورت...
από sporttouch 2025-01-23 06:54:03 0 1χλμ.
Opinion
Child Support Texas Calculator & Payment Rules 2025
Introduction Raising a child involves more than love and care—it also requires financial...
από jonaslegalgroup 2025-08-27 07:39:03 0 563
Food
Cocoa Products Market to Exceed Valuation of USD 39640.68 million at a 5.8% CAGR by 2029
Data Bridge Market Research analyses that the cocoa products market was valued at USD 25,249.67...
από Manth18 2023-08-21 08:27:50 0 5χλμ.
Προωθημένο
google-site-verification: google037b30823fc02426.html