Fear and resignation after ‘world’s most powerful company’ pays Trump a $100 billion ‘protection fee’

TSMC CEO CC Wei, right, joins a press conference with President Donald Trump at the White House on March 3, 2025.
It was a surprise ceremony at the White House presided over by President Donald Trump to unveil a $100 billion investment from what he called the world’s most powerful company, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC).
But nearly 8,000 miles away, the mood was far from celebratory. Instead, the shock announcement last week has reignited fears in Taiwan about losing its crown jewel, its world-beating semiconductor industry, to the US due to political pressure.
The island democracy’s former President Ma Ying-jeou wasted no time in accusing the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) of “selling TSMC” to Trump as a “protection fee.”
“This is a major national security crisis,” Ma, a member of the opposition Kuomintang (KMT), wrote on his Facebook page on March 4, shortly after the White House signing ceremony. It will “’have a significant negative impact on people’s confidence, cross-strait relations and Taiwan’s future geopolitical position.”
To reassure the public, Taiwan President Lai Ching-te appeared alongside TSMC CEO CC Wei last week at Taipei’s presidential office, saying the company’s US investment would not undermine its commitment to and planned expansion in its home base.
TSMC produces more than 90% of the world’s advanced microchips, which power everything from smartphones and artificial intelligence to weapons. That’s why many in Taiwan believe that global dependence on its semiconductors serves as a “silicon shield,” a deterrent against a potential Chinese invasion.
China’s ruling Communist Party claims Taiwan as part of its territory despite having never controlled it and has vowed to take control of the self-governing island, by force if necessary. Beijing has in recent years escalated its military activities around Taiwan, regularly flying fighter jets and conducting exercises in waters near the island.
‘Ukraine today, Taiwan tomorrow’
Taiwan relies on US military and political support. Under the Taiwan Relations Act, the US is legally obligated to provide Taiwan with the means to defend itself against a possible attack by China.
But Trump’s recent rhetoric has cast uncertainty over the future of US-Taiwan relations. He has repeatedly accused Taiwan of “stealing” the US semiconductor industry, a claim that is widely disputed, while saying outright that Taiwan should pay the US for “protection.”
For many on the self-governing island, the phrase “Ukraine today, Taiwan tomorrow” has increasingly resonated in recent weeks as they watch Trump upend longstanding US policy by playing up Kremlin rhetoric and warming to Moscow, while alienating traditional European allies and Kyiv. Taiwanese see parallels between their democracy and Ukraine, with both facing existential threats from aggressive, expansionist neighbors.
Washington earlier this month abruptly suspended military aid to Ukraine following a heated exchange between Trump, Vice President JD Vance and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House, just hours after the cheerful TSMC ceremony. It reinstated aid this week after Ukraine accepted a 30-day US-proposed ceasefire. The White House has also pressed Zelensky to sign a deal giving the US access to Kyiv’s untapped mineral riches.
Tammy Chao, a retiree, expressed deep concern to CNN about Taiwan’s security after TSMC’s announcement, likening Trump’s approach to his handling of Ukraine. She described him as a “dealer” who might eventually treat Taiwan as a bargaining chip.
“Taiwan, pretty soon just like [what] he said to Zelensky, ‘you have no cards to play,’ and Taiwan is not gonna have cards to play,” she said. “TSMC was the best card.”
But others appear less concerned. Fred Lin, a finance industry professional, said he believed TSMC came to this decision prudently.
“Who doesn’t pay protection fees to the US? No doubt It is a form of protection fee, that we can understand, but that’s the reality of international politics,” he said.
Trump administration officials, however, have also said they need to dial down involvement in European security to focus on Asia – and the threat from China. Prior to his election, Vance was explicit in his concerns that US support for Ukraine could hinder its ability to aid Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack.
Researchers say there are limits to comparisons between Ukraine and Taiwan’s security circumstances and believe the island’s security is influenced by multiple factors beyond its semiconductor industry, including China’s broader geopolitical ambition and Taiwan’s strategic location.
Whether China takes military action against Taiwan is ultimately driven by its core interests, which are not solely dependent on the island’s role in global chip production, said Min-yen Chiang, a nonresident fellow at the Research Institute for Democracy, Society, and Emerging Technology, a government-funded think tank in Taipei.
He referenced the time in 1950 when the US sent its Seventh Fleet to the Taiwan Strait early on during the Korean War to deter China from invading Taiwan. The strategic move by then-President Harry Truman neutralized the Taiwan Strait and ensured the Korean War did not trigger a wider conflict, maintaining stability in the Asia-Pacific region.
“Taiwan then had no semiconductor industry at all,” he said.
Still committed
Last week, President Lai said Taipei did not “face any pressure from Washington” in doing the TSMC deal, which the company said was the biggest such investment in the US ever made by a non-American firm.
Standing next to him, Wei attributed the increased investment to “strong demand” from American customers such as Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm and Broadcom that wanted to reduce potential supply chain risks by having chips made locally.
He also added that TSMC was “not afraid” of Trump potentially scrapping the subsidies from the Chips Act, stressing that the company’s decision to invest in the US was driven by customer needs.
TSMC was awarded $6.5 billion in grants for its first three plants in Arizona under the bipartisan Chips Act, spearheaded by the Biden administration, which allocated $39 billion in federal funding to boost domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
“We are the best wherever we build our fabs,” Wei added, referring to semiconductor fabrication plants.
Along with the additional three manufacturing facilities, the new investment also promised two chip packaging plants and a research and development center to improve the production process technology.
Wei clarified that the development of the cutting-edge next generation chipmaking technology would remain in Taiwan and would still be 10 times bigger than the US facilities.
Semiconductor analysts applauded the company for making an “agile” decision.
TF International Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo praised TSMC in an online analysis, calling it the “most successful non-US company in negotiations with the Trump administration.”
“Though the $100 billion investment seems massive, the lack of details provides the flexibility for spending based on future conditions, softening the impact on profitability,” Kuo wrote.
TSMC’s investment has mostly alleviated Trump’s concerns, according to Eric Chen, an analyst at Digitimes Research, a market research firm. “But of course, we have no way of knowing when Trump might change his stance — he’s notorious for making sudden U-turns,” he said.
Weaponizing tariffs
TSMC’s $100 billion investment marks the latest in a wave of businesses committing massive sums to the US. But it stands out as one of the first major foreign firms to do so, and Trump claims more such investments are on the way.
In contrast to his predecessor Biden’s approach of incentivizing domestic investment through subsidies, Trump prefers to weaponize tariffs. So far, it has proven effective.
Trump has previously threatened to impose 25% tariffs on semiconductors, along with automobiles and pharmaceuticals as early as next month. At the announcement of TSMC’s investment, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the company chose to expand in the US due to the threat of tariffs, and were not given additional grants.
In late February, Apple pledged $500 billion to expand facilities, manufacturing and projects across the US over the next four years. Oracle, OpenAI and SoftBank announced in January that they would invest $500 billion to create a new company that would build artificial intelligence infrastructure in the US.
With TSMC’s new investment in the US, Trump is expected to turn up the heat on other major companies, said Chang-Tai Hsieh, an economist at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business.
He said it puts added pressure on Samsung and Intel, the two other major producers of computing and AI chips in the world.
South Korea’s SK Hynix, another key player in memory chips along with Samsung, are also expected to feel the squeeze. Samsung has previously pledged to invest $37 billion in Texas, while SK Hynix announced plans to build a $3.87 billion chip packaging plant in Indiana last year. Samsung and SK Hynix declined to comment.
Hsieh said it is obvious that companies like TSMC and others will have to “do whatever they can to make Trump happy.” But he also warned of the risks associated with such concessions.
“Once you agree to blackmail, then there’s no end of it,” he said.
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OPINION-TSMC’s $165 billion play in Arizona may be a hedge against the next big war |
We’re just beginning to understand what it means that one of the world’s most powerful companies is planning the largest foreign direct investment in U.S. history here in metro Phoenix.
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) is making a $165 billion play in the Arizona desert that at build-out would include six fabrication plants, two advanced packaging facilities and a center for research and development.
This isn’t just a massive scale-up of development already underway in Arizona, it’s part of a global power struggle that involves China, the United States and the island nation about 100 miles off the Chinese mainland that has become a fulcrum of international politics.
Taiwan chip manufacturer hedges its bets
TSMC’s move is “hedging in two directions” explained Walter Russell Mead, a public intellectual and professor of Strategy and Statecraft at the University of Florida's Hamilton Center.
“If you were Taiwanese and you would prefer not to see either a war in the Taiwan Strait or an occupation of Taiwan by China, then this is a really good idea and this is an excellent time to do it,” Mead told the Tablet magazine podcast What Really Matters on March 7.
First, the massive investment in America keeps your most important ally happy, Mead said, especially with President Trump threatening to slap tariffs on Taiwan chip imports.
But “suppose, hypothetically, I had some doubts about America’s long-term commitment (to help Taiwan against Chinese aggression), and I was a Taiwanese chip manufacturer, I might want to make sure that my company would survive and flourish whatever happens on Taiwan.
“So, this is both an insurance policy against America failing to help keep Taiwan independent, and a way of making the insurance policy look a little bit stronger – paying a premium on the insurance policy.”
Taiwan executives imagine living in Arizona
Timothy Prickett Morgan observes that with China lurking on the horizon “it has been in Taiwan’s best interest to spread its own risk out geographically.”
However, efforts to near-shore Taiwan chip manufacturing in the West make the island nation less crucial for chip supply and thus a lower priority to defend should China invade.
“Expect a lot of Taiwanese executives to consider what living in the Arizona desert might look like for their families,” he wrote.
Taiwan has cornered much of the market on the world’s most advanced microchips, which makes it critical to global manufacturing.
Virtually all of our machines and appliances are powered by data-crunching semiconductors – washers and dryers, refrigerators, automobiles, tractors, aircraft, ships, satellites.
The most advanced semiconductors will power the AI revolution that could rival the printing press for its impact on world history, according to industry leaders such as Google’s Eric Schmidt and OpenAI’s Sam Altman.
That would make Taiwan a critical player in the emerging AI economy.
It is also an endangered one.
Potential multi-billion dollar impact on Arizona
China’s President Xi Jingping has told his military to be prepared to take Taiwan by 2027, U.S. intelligence and military officials have reported.
As TSMC hedges its bets in America, expect other major East Asian chipmakers to move production to the United States, reports the South China Morning Post.
Among them, South Korean giants LG and Samsung were already looking to move plants to the U.S., the newspaper reported.
The first TSMC plants were projected to generate $38 billion of economic impact every 13 years in Arizona, Christine Mackay, the city of Phoenix's economic development director, told the Phoenix Business Journal.
Now with the company’s $100 billion investment, the economic impact could be four times that, she said.
It may be years before we understand how global power struggles are going to change Arizona.
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