Iran’s high-tech onslaught punches deadly holes in Israel’s air defences

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Like a “bus full of explosives” ready to smash into an Israeli city.

That was how Benjamin Netanyahu described Iran’s ballistic missiles before they were launched at his country at the weekend.

Tehran has now fired more than 200 missiles at Israel since Friday, according to Israeli military officials.

Many have penetrated Israel’s renowned air defences, forcing the military to warn its people that the defences were “not hermetic”.

Scenes of devastation on the streets of Tel Aviv have prompted alarm over what some believed to be the impenetrable layers of protection over Israel, including the Iron Dome.

Where did they hit?

At least 13 people, all identified as civilians, have been killed since Tehran started its long-range barrages late on Friday.

Missiles killed four people, all women and children, in northern Israel between Saturday night and Sunday morning, according to the local police force.

Another four were killed and dozens more wounded when a multi-storey building was hit in Bat Yam, just south of Tel Aviv.

Pictures of the search and rescue efforts revealed the extent of the damage, with one side of the building almost entirely shaved off as a result of the strike.

Scenes of hulking piles of concrete debris and protruding rebar steel have been compared to Gaza.

But it appears that the initial targets were not solely civilian areas.

Footage circulated during Friday night’s Iranian barrage showed missiles landing in and around the Kirya compound, which belongs to the Israeli ministry of defence and is known as Israel’s Pentagon, in Tel Aviv.

What is not clear is whether the missiles landed inside the facility or in the civilian areas surrounding it.

But soldiers have been among the hundreds of people confirmed injured by Israeli authorities.

However, the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) described the strikes on Tel Aviv on Friday as an attack on civilians, rather than detailing any potential damage to its compound.

On Sunday, Lt Col Nadav Shoshani, an IDF spokesman, said: “Iran is intentionally firing missiles at Israeli homes and apartments. These aren’t misfires – they are deliberately targeting civilians, firing towards the centre of the civilian population.”

Another target hit early on Sunday morning was confirmed as the Weizmann Institute, a civilian research and science centre in Rehovot, near Tel Aviv.

This strike blurred the lines between the civilian and military worlds. While the Weizmann is considered an academic facility, its researchers have often contributed to Israel’s military developments.

Similar strikes happened in the port city of Haifa, home to Israel’s largest oil refinery.

Pipelines and transmission lines serving the facility were damaged in the strikes, according to a regulatory filing to the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, reported by the Reuters news agency.

Meanwhile, in Tamra, an Arab city just east of Haifa, reports emerged that four women were killed, and a dozen were injured, when an Iranian missile hit a two-storey house.

How did they get through?

Just short of 10 per cent of the hundreds of missiles fired by Iran have evaded Israel’s complex web of air-defences.

Israel’s military, in order not to offer any information that could aid Tehran in future attacks, has given no official comment on the number of missiles that have gotten through.

However, the Iranian air strikes demonstrate the difficulty that even one of the world’s best air defence systems has when it comes to ballistic missiles.

Ballistic missiles can fly at hypersonic speeds above Mach-5, meaning that very few surface-to-air batteries are capable of intercepting them.

Israel’s “David’s Sling” – named after the biblical story of David and Goliath – is one of them. But with barrages of dozens of missiles at a time, even this system has difficulty keeping up.

How the Iron Dome works
How the Iron Dome works

The larger the number of missiles, the greater the chance there is of at least one sneaking through and finding its target.

Experts have said it is likely that Iran is using the bulk of its ballistic missiles to “distract and saturate” air defences to create an opening for more advanced weapons.

That missile appears to be the Shahed Haj Qassem, which was fired at Israel for the first time over the weekend.

It is said to have a range of around 1,000 miles and uses solid-based fuel, which means it can be stored underground for years and brought up for firing.

Iran missile ranges
Iran missile ranges

The Iranian missiles focus on “speed and range, at the cost of precision”, according to Justin Crump, the chief executive of geopolitical risk analysts Sibylline.

This makes it all the more likely that Tehran misses its military targets and hits civilian buildings surrounding them.

While Israel is only a small country, it is likely that its armed forces concentrate their defences on military targets, rather than civilian areas.

How long can Iran continue?

Before it started bombarding Israel, Iran was believed to have as many as 2,000 missiles capable of hitting the Jewish state in its arsenal.

The Islamic regime has been significantly ramping up production to bolster its arsenal in recent years, according to the IDF.

“The assessment entering this conflict was that Iran has about 2,000 missiles. We understand they have a plan to increase that number dramatically – to 8,000 missiles – in the near future,” Lt Col Shoshani said on Sunday.

Earlier, Mr Netanyahu had claimed that Iran’s accelerated production meant it hoped to build 300 missiles a month, meaning it would have 20,000 in six years.

Using those estimates, as well as the current rate of fire, Iran would likely run out of munitions in “three weeks at current rates”, Mr Crump said.

But that does not take account of the work being done by the IDF inside Iran to neutralise its ballistic missiles programme.

Israel has published footage, some of which is backed up by satellite images, of strikes on Iranian launchers, depots and missile fuel plants.

Depending on Israel’s successes inside Iran, this could considerably shorten the length of time that the Islamic regime is able to sustain its long-range bombardments.

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Iran launches fresh wave of missiles as Israel fires back

Iran launched another wave of missiles against Israel in the early hours of Sunday, while Israel's military continued its attacks on locations in the Iranian capital Tehran.

The Israeli military said on Telegram that defence systems were in operation to counter the threat.

People in the affected areas should seek shelter and only leave once instructed to do so, the military said.

Meanwhile, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) said it had carried out an "extensive series of strikes on targets in Tehran."

The targets included the Iranian Defence Ministry headquarters, sites associated with Iran's nuclear programme and other targets, the IDF said.

The targets related to "the Iranian regime’s efforts to obtain a nuclear weapon and where the Iranian regime hid its nuclear archive," the IDF wrote.

Iranian media also reported attacks on a fuel depot in Tehran.

The online portal SNN reported that an oil depot in the Shahran district in the north-west of the metropolis was hit.

Videos on Iranian media showed burning oil tanks and billowing thick smoke.

Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz wrote on X: "Tehran is burning."

Earlier Katz made a threat that "Tehran would burn" if Israeli civilians were hit by Iranian strikes.

Rapid escalation - no end in sight

Israel began attacking Iran on Friday morning, aiming for nuclear facilities, leading military figures, top nuclear scientists, defence positions, cities and, according to reports, oil fields.

Iran said the air strikes were a declaration of war and fired hundreds of missiles and drones towards Israel in retaliation.

The latest attacks on Saturday follow fierce mutual threats throughout the day and despite a flurry of diplomacy including from the leaders of Russia and the United States.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu earlier vowed to "attack every location and every target of the Ayatollah regime," referring to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

The attacks carried out so far are nothing compared to those that will take place in the coming days, Netanyahu said. Israel wants to ward off both the threat of nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles in Iran, he added.

Casualties reported on both sides

Iran's overnight missile strikes reportedly killed at least three people in Israel, while the Iranian ambassador to the United Nations, Amir Saeid Iravani, spoke of almost 100 deaths - mostly of civilians - in his country.

According to the Iranian Health Ministry, at least 800 people have been treated in hospital in Iran with injuries since the start of the Israeli attacks. Some 230 of these patients have already been discharged.

Iranian scientists, military leaders targeted

Earlier on Saturday, Iranian officials confirmed the deaths of three more nuclear scientists and another two generals in the Israeli strikes.

The dead scientists were names as Ali Bakai Karimi, Mansour Asgari and Said Borji, the Tasnim news agency reported. This brings the number of known fatalities among Iran's nuclear experts to at least nine.

The Israeli military said on Saturday it had killed more than 20 military commanders, including the head of the intelligence department in the Iranian armed forces' general staff, Gholamreza Mehrabi.

Iranian state radio had previously reported his death and described him as deputy head of the intelligence department.

Steady stream of calls for de-escalation

International leaders reiterated their calls for Iran and Israel to de-escalate and return to dialogue.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump spoke on the phone for the third time in a month, mainly about the "dangerous escalation of the situation in the Middle East," the Russian state news agency TASS reported.

Trump also said the two talked for an hour and agreed that the fighting between Israel and Iran must end.

Iran also warned Western powers

Iranian media outlets, meanwhile, reported that Tehran has notified France, Britain and the United States of potential future strikes should they continue supporting Israel's defence efforts.

Countries involved in Israel's defence against Iranian attacks would therefore have to expect attacks themselves, according to the Iranian leadership.

French President Emmanuel Macron called Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian and warned him that French citizens must not be harmed as conflict widens in the region.

Missile trails from renewed Iranian retaliatory strikes are seen in the sky over Tel Aviv. Ilia Yefimovich/dpa
Missile trails from renewed Iranian retaliatory strikes are seen in the sky over Tel Aviv. Ilia Yefimovich/dpa
Missiles launched from Iran are seen in the sky over Tel Aviv. Ilia Yefimovich/dpa
Missiles launched from Iran are seen in the sky over Tel Aviv. Ilia Yefimovich/dpa
Missiles launched from Iran are seen in the sky over Tel Aviv. Ilia Yefimovich/dpa
Missiles launched from Iran are seen in the sky over Tel Aviv. Ilia Yefimovich/dpa
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