The End of Bolivia’s Pink Tide
Rodrigo Paz’s victory signals a rightward shift toward capitalism in a country long-accustomed to socialism.
On October 19, Bolivians elected centrist candidate Rodrigo Paz, ushering in a new era of Bolivian politics. Just two months before, on August 17, Bolivians voted against the governing socialist party, the Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS), after two decades of leadership. The presidential field leading up to the election was stacked with familiar faces, political dynasties, and the kind of interpersonal drama one might expect from a reality TV show.
In August, voters were united in their stalwart indictment of the country’s economic mismanagement under MAS; this past week, they faced the challenge of selecting Bolivia’s new guiding philosophy. As the country headed toward a runoff, the conversation shifted to whether moderate changes or bold advances toward free-market capitalism and law and order would define Bolivian politics moving forward.

Socialism has been the prevailing philosophy in Bolivia since 2006, when the charismatic Evo Morales became Bolivia’s first indigenous president. His party, MAS, was part of the “pink tide,” in which multiple socialist governments came to power across Latin America in the 2010s. With the help of Economic Minister Luis Arce, Morales rewrote the constitution, nationalized several key industries, and attempted to abolish constitutional term limits.
Favorable winds and high global gas prices led to a honeymoon between Bolivia and MAS, known as the “Bolivian Miracle.” Profits from the nationalized natural gas industry funded public projects, improved literacy rates, and reduced extreme poverty from 38 percent to 12 percent under Morales.
However, as international gas prices dipped, so too did Bolivia’s foreign currency reserves. A fiscal surplus quickly became a devastating deficit, and the honeymoon ended abruptly. In 2019, Evo Morales was exiled to Mexico after attempting to secure a fourth term as president amid mass protests and a disputed election. A year later, his former Economic Minister, Luis Arce, assumed his former position, and Morales returned to Bolivia.
In recent years, the economic situation has worsened. Last year, the debt-to-GDP ratio exceeded 90 percent, and annual inflation officially hit 25 percent. President Luis Arce established price controls to combat rising prices, but these inevitably led to shortages and declining options for Bolivians. Fabricio Antezana Duran, a student at Universidad Privada Boliviana in La Paz, Bolivia, informed me, “Many Bolivians no longer have access to meat and proteins. So now their main source of protein would be eggs, because they can no longer afford to have meat.”
Road blockades created by Evo Morales’s supporters disrupted supply chains, accelerating the crisis. Following his return in 2020, the former president repeatedly stoked chaos and sabotaged his former ally, Luis Arce. On election day in August 2025, Morales watched from his bunker in Chapare as his supporters pelted the left-wing presidential candidate Andrónico Rodríguez for disloyalty.
This political shift to the Right is a familiar scene in Latin America these days. Less than two years ago, Bolivia’s southern neighbor, Argentina, faced an inflationary crisis and elected libertarian economist Javier Milei. The country’s apparent economic comeback has inspired a free-market revolution across the River Plate region, with many popular candidates in the Bolivian election styling themselves as acolytes of Milei.
“Paz’s victory marks an interesting shift; from populist socialism to ‘capitalism for everyone.’ For the first time in 20 years, privatization, international investment, and the strengthening of private property are part of the formula to bring Bolivia back to the international stage,” Antezana shared. “Only time will tell how genuinely liberty-oriented Paz’s intentions truly are.”
The losing candidate in October’s runoff, former president Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga, spoke of plans to dramatically reform the country’s economic system and privatize its natural resources. In an interview with the Associated Press, he said, “I will open Bolivia to the world and bring the world to Bolivia.”
President-Elect Rodrigo Paz, from the Christian Democratic Party, also appeared to embrace a freer economy during his campaign, with the slogan “capitalism for all.” But his distancing from other candidates’ plans to use International Monetary Fund loans to rescue the country by selling its lithium reserves positioned him as the moderate, centrist candidate.
Journalist Joseph Bouchard was on the ground in Bolivia for the country’s first round of elections and predicted that moderate rhetoric would ultimately prevail. “Narratives of coalition-building versus right-wing zeal, and of who can restore order through pragmatic, human-centric solutions, will define the race,” he told me in August. “So far, Paz is winning that contest, being perceived as the more flexible, competent, and fresh option to Tuto’s ideological, pro-US, pro-austerity, cold-and-tough approach.”
“Tuto” Quiroga did not shy away from this ideological approach. “If people tell you that’s right-wing or libertarian, let them say what they want,” he told the Associated Press.
Duran also believes a wave of liberalism is sweeping through the region. “There is a Milei phenomenon, which is going on all around the region here in Latin America…Many people have been asking for free markets [and] capitalism.”
Voters also embraced rhetoric styled after Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele. His “mano dura” style crime crackdown has become popular throughout Latin America. Although Bolivia has a lower murder rate than many of its neighbors, voters sought an antidote to the chaos egged on by former President Evo Morales.
“The public associates insecurity with the coca-growing Chaparé and with Evo Morales’s armed supporters, protecting him behind a bunker,” said Bouchard. “Calls for militarization and ‘regaining control’ resonate, and both Paz and Quiroga promise firm crackdowns.” Both candidates hinted that these “crackdowns” involve the arrest of Evo Morales, who is currently facing charges related to allegedly impregnating a 15-year-old girl.
On October 19, voters decided Bolivia’s future. Rodrigo Paz’s victory signals a rightward shift toward capitalism and a stronger approach to law and order. How significant this shift will be remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: Bolivia’s socialist experiment is over. Bolivia is not the first, nor will it be the last, Latin American country to reject the left-wing leaders they previously welcomed with open arms. As voters continue to endure devastating economic outcomes throughout Latin America, the pink tide will continue to recede.
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