The End of Bolivia’s Pink Tide

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Rodrigo Paz’s victory signals a rightward shift toward capitalism in a country long-accustomed to socialism.

On October 19, Bolivians elected centrist candidate Rodrigo Paz, ushering in a new era of Bolivian politics. Just two months before, on August 17, Bolivians voted against the governing socialist party, the Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS), after two decades of leadership. The presidential field leading up to the election was stacked with familiar faces, political dynasties, and the kind of interpersonal drama one might expect from a reality TV show. 

In August, voters were united in their stalwart indictment of the country’s economic mismanagement under MAS; this past week, they faced the challenge of selecting Bolivia’s new guiding philosophy. As the country headed toward a runoff, the conversation shifted to whether moderate changes or bold advances toward free-market capitalism and law and order would define Bolivian politics moving forward.

President Luis Arce of Bolivia appears at the Mercosur Summit in 2023.

Socialism has been the prevailing philosophy in Bolivia since 2006, when the charismatic Evo Morales became Bolivia’s first indigenous president. His party, MAS, was part of the “pink tide,” in which multiple socialist governments came to power across Latin America in the 2010s. With the help of Economic Minister Luis Arce, Morales rewrote the constitution, nationalized several key industries, and attempted to abolish constitutional term limits.

Favorable winds and high global gas prices led to a honeymoon between Bolivia and MAS, known as the “Bolivian Miracle.” Profits from the nationalized natural gas industry funded public projects, improved literacy rates, and reduced extreme poverty from 38 percent to 12 percent under Morales. 

However, as international gas prices dipped, so too did Bolivia’s foreign currency reserves. A fiscal surplus quickly became a devastating deficit, and the honeymoon ended abruptly. In 2019, Evo Morales was exiled to Mexico after attempting to secure a fourth term as president amid mass protests and a disputed election. A year later, his former Economic Minister, Luis Arce, assumed his former position, and Morales returned to Bolivia.

In recent years, the economic situation has worsened. Last year, the debt-to-GDP ratio exceeded 90 percent, and annual inflation officially hit 25 percent. President Luis Arce established price controls to combat rising prices, but these inevitably led to shortages and declining options for Bolivians. Fabricio Antezana Duran, a student at Universidad Privada Boliviana in La Paz, Bolivia, informed me, “Many Bolivians no longer have access to meat and proteins. So now their main source of protein would be eggs, because they can no longer afford to have meat.” 

Road blockades created by Evo Morales’s supporters disrupted supply chains, accelerating the crisis. Following his return in 2020, the former president repeatedly stoked chaos and sabotaged his former ally, Luis Arce. On election day in August 2025, Morales watched from his bunker in Chapare as his supporters pelted the left-wing presidential candidate Andrónico Rodríguez for disloyalty.

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